[ZNPaaneah]

So today the National Security Advisor resigns because he had told the Russians they didn't need to worry about the sanctions that Obama was putting on them, presumably because he would undo them when Trump took office. To make things worse he lied about this to VP Pence.

Now what no one is talking about and I find outrageous is that this man would negotiate with the Russians without telling Trump! This tells me that he has no respect for the President. I guess he felt he was running the country, the President would just rubber stamp whatever he decided and he could easily manipulate the President once the time came.

No wonder he had to be fired! You can't go around representing what the President will do without even informing the president. Just one day ago Trump "had full confidence in him". Boy, he must really feel like he had been duped. Especially that tweet about the Russians being "smart".

But according to Kelly Ann the final straw was not the disrespect to President Trump but the fact that he misled the VP?! Who is in charge?

One wonders why it took Trump 16 days to figure this out. The Justice department tells Trump that he was not honest and was in danger of being blackmailed by the Russians. But that wasn't the key to why he was fired? He had negotiated with the Russians while Obama was in power without Trump knowing, he lied about it to the FBI, he was now open to being blackmailed by the Russians permanently crippling Trump's foreign policy. But none of that was the key to his being fired. Rather the key was that he misled the VP. Apparently, according to Spicer for the last sixteen days they were first looking into the legal issues but when they realized there were tapes of the phone calls it answered the legal questions. Now I am no legal expert but the legal question that is answered when you learn they have a tape of the phone call is "can we get away with denying this". Once they realized the FBI had the tape of the phone call that answered the question.

This is how liars apply this principle. They deny, deny, deny. In this case the appearance that something didn't add up occurred when the Russians didn't respond to sanctions which led the Justice department to find this phone call. But once you have hard evidence then the scandal explodes. Sixteen days to figure out how to cover this up. This is why the cover up is worse than the crime, it proves you have a bunch of liars.

Of course what is the most troubling thing that I learned from the entire episode is that our former National Security Advisor did not realize that phone calls with the Ambassador to Russia were being recorded.

So then, the application of the false positive paradox is not to reject one witness, but to use that one witness to prompt you to look for a second. If you don't find a second then that proves it was a false positive. On the other hand if you have found that liar, then you will find a second witness once you look. After all that first test just reduced the number from 1 in 1,000 to 1 in 21. The second witness makes the odds 2:1 in favor and the third witness proves it beyond a reasonable doubt.

This NSA resignation is now the first witness that makes me want to see Trump's tax records more than ever.